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Weekly Oil Prices Forecast and Technical Analysis Nov 19, 2023

Weekly Oil Prices Forecast and Technical Analysis

Oil prices dropped this week to their lowest level since July as market participants focused on concerns about the world’s two biggest economies: the United States and China.

Looking at the daily chart below, the Brent Crude oil price is moving in an upward channel (blue channel at the chart), and price has dropped to the bottom of channel at $77. In addition, positive RSI divergence right as the price trades into the bottom of channel, indicates a reverse and starting an upward trend.

According to the analysis above, the Brent Crude oil is predicted to rise for this week.

Goldman Sachs Sees OPEC Keeping Oil in 80-100 USD Price Range

Goldman Sachs expects OPEC to not let oil prices slide too much below $80 per barrel next year and use its pricing power to keep them in the $80-$100 range, the bank said in a note this week, ahead of the OPEC+ meeting on November 26.

Oil prices dived this week to their lowest level since July as market participants focused on concerns about the world’s two biggest economies: the United States and China. The U.S. benchmark WTI Crude slumped below $75 a barrel, and Brent Crude prices slipped below the key threshold of $80 per barrel. On Thursday alone, oil plunged by 5% and was on track early on Friday to post a fourth consecutive week of weekly losses.

“Crude oil prices collapsed on Thursday, falling close to 5% with Brent dipping below $77 and while rising US inventories and demand worries were the triggers, technical selling was the driver,” Saxo Bank’s strategy team said in a Friday note.

“The $75 oil has previously sparked a response from OPEC, and the cartel meets on November 26, when they will consider how to respond to weakening oil prices and concerns that a potential stumble in global growth could hold back demand. For now, the bears are in the driving seat once again.”

However, Goldman Sachs believes that OPEC will use its production policy to keep prices in the $80-$100 range.


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Weekly Oil Prices Forecast and Technical Analysis Nov 19, 2023